University of Delaware/PSRAI poll: Clinton with 93-point lead
By University of Delaware/PSRAI published the results of a new national poll on July 26. In this poll, which was commissioned by University of Delaware/PSRAI, respondents were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
University of Delaware/PSRAI poll results
According to the results, 87.0% of interviewees would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 3.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted via phone from July 21 to July 24, among a random sample of 818 participants.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be overly confident the results of a single poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the best practice is to consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 96.7% for Clinton and 3.3% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
If we look at an average of polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 50.4%. This value is 46.3 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the University of Delaware/PSRAI poll.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 51.9% of the two-party vote. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 44.8 points below her polling numbers.
