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University of Delaware/PSRAI poll: Clinton with 93-point lead


University of Delaware/PSRAI published the results of a new national poll on July 26. In this poll, which was commissioned by University of Delaware/PSRAI, respondents were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

University of Delaware/PSRAI poll results




According to the results, 87.0% of interviewees would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 3.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted via phone from July 21 to July 24, among a random sample of 818 participants.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be overly confident the results of a single poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the best practice is to consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 96.7% for Clinton and 3.3% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

If we look at an average of polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 50.4%. This value is 46.3 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the University of Delaware/PSRAI poll.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 51.9% of the two-party vote. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 44.8 points below her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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