Rhode Island: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will achieve 61.7% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, whereas Trump will win 38.3%. In comparison, on April 27, Clinton was predicted to win only 61.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 61.9% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Rhode Island. Compared to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.2 percentage points better.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

In Comparison to the econometric model, the PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 63.0% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island, which is 1.3 percentage points above the econometric model results. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 9.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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