Mississippi: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.2% for Clinton and 53.8% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on April 26 Trump was still predicted to gain 54.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, one should use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Mississippi sees Trump at 56.2% of the two-party vote. Relative to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 2.4 percentage points better.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results were accurately predicted by the combined forecast from PollyVote for Mississippi. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 5.7 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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