The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 58.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will end up with 41.9%. In comparison, on April 26 Trump was still predicted to gain 42.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Hawaii sees Clinton at 64.1% of the two-party vote. This value is 6.0 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
In Comparison to the econometric model, the PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 67.8% of the two-party vote in Hawaii, which is 9.7 percentage points above the econometric model results. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 6.2 percentage points higher.