The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 55.2% of the two-party vote share in Maine, whereas Trump will end up with 44.8%. In comparison, on April 26, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 53.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently achieves 55.4% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Maine. Relative to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.2 percentage points better.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
In Comparison to the econometric model, the PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Maine, which is 0.7 percentage points below the econometric model results. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 3.3 percentage points higher.