WSB-TV/LandmarkWSB-TV published the results of a new poll on July 26. In this poll, participants from Georgia were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
WSB-TV/LandmarkWSB-TV poll results
Of those who responded, 44.0% said that they are going to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 46.0% said that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted between July 24 and July 24. The sample size was 500 likely voters. The error margin is +/-4.4 percentage points, which means that the poll results for Clinton and Trump do not differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be treated with caution, as they often include large errors. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 48.9% for Clinton and 51.1% for Trump.
Results in comparison to other polls
Trump can currently count on 52.6% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Georgia. Relative to his numbers in the WSB-TV/LandmarkWSB-TV poll Trump's poll average is 1.5 percentage points better. This deviation is within the poll's margin of error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 53.3% of the two-party vote in Georgia. Hence, the PollyVote is 2.2 points above his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's margin of error.