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Jérôme & Jérôme model: Clinton tied with Trump

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The Jérôme & Jérôme model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote. In comparison, on June 22 Trump was predicted to win 49.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 48.8% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. This value is 1.3 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

In Comparison to the econometric model, the PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote, which is 1.9 percentage points above the econometric model results.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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