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Clinton in the lead, according to latest PollyVote forecast

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PollyVote today forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.3% for Clinton and 47.7% for Trump. For the last 7 day, things have been looking worse for Clinton, she has since lost 0.3 percentage points.

What Polly's components expect

There is broad consensus among the six available component methods: Five predict a win for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win.

According to the econometric models Trump is currently leading with 51.2%.

Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are combined polls with a vote share of 51.8% for Clinton. With a vote share of 48.8% the econometric models deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.

Compared to the previous month there have been the largest changes in the expert surveys. Clinton wins 1.9 percentage point.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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