Clinton ahead, according to most recent PollyVote forecast

The combined PollyVote today predicts a national two-party vote share of 52.4% for Clinton and 47.6% for Trump.

A look at the components

There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win.

According to the econometric models Trump is right now ahead by 51.2%.

Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are aggregated polls with a vote share of 52.1% for Clinton. The econometric models present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 48.8% of the vote.

Compared to the previous month there have been the largest changes in the prediction markets;Clinton loses 2.38 percentage point.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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