The combined PollyVote currently predicts a national two-party vote share of 52.5% for Clinton and 47.5% for Trump. The component methods widely agree on who will be America's next president: Five predict a win for Clinton and one predicts that Trump will win.
According to the econometric models Trump is right now leading with 51.2%.
Aggregated polls predict a vote share of 52.2% for Clinton, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 48.8% the econometric models deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.
A trend favoring Clinton has appeared in the econometric models, the expectation polls and the expert surveys. The trend continued for the longest time in the econometric models — within 74 days Clinton's vote share has increased by 0.7 percentage points.