The Issues and Leaders model is captured in the quantitative index models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will garner 52.1% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 48.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single quantitative index models can contain large errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a quantitative index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other quantitative index models
Clinton currently runs at 53.6% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent quantitative index models. Compared to her numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model Clinton's quantitative index model average is 1.5 percentage points better.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The quantitative index model results for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 52.5%.