The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 36.0% for Clinton and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas. In comparison, on April 26, Clinton was predicted to win only 34.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Trump is currently at 61.1% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Kansas. Relative to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 2.9 percentage points worse.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The econometric model results for Trump are thus 8.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.9% in Kansas. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 16.6 percentage points higher.