In today's update, Polly the parrot concludes that Clinton will obtain 52.6% of the national two-party vote, compared to 47.4% for Trump.
A look at Polly's components
The component methods widely agree on who will be the next U.S. President: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one predicts that Trump will win.
According to the econometric models Trump is currently leading with 51.2%.
Aggregated polls predict a vote share of 52.5% for Clinton, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 48.8% the econometric models differ the most from the PollyVote forecast.