The combined PollyVote currently predicts a national two-party vote share of 52.7% for Clinton and 47.3% for Trump. Polly's component methods widely agree on the election outcome: Five anticipate a victory for Clinton and one anticipates that Trump will win.
Contrary to Polly's combined forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric models of 51.2%.
Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are combined polls with a vote share of 52.7% for Clinton. The econometric models present the largest difference from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 48.8% of the vote.