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Latest NBC poll: Clinton and Trump in a virtual tie

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On July 12, NBC released the results of a new national poll commissioned by NBC News, in which respondents were asked for whom they would vote if the nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democratic Party and Donald Trump for the Republican Party.

NBC poll results
47

Clinton

44

Trump

Of those who answered the question, 47.0% said that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% declared that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted via Internet from July 4 to July 10, among a random sample of 3 participants.

Putting the results in context

Single polls often include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 51.7% for Clinton and 48.4% for Trump. On March 11 Clinton obtained 57.3% in the NBC poll and Trump obtained only 42.7%.

Comparison to other polls

An average of recent polls sees Clinton at 52.7% of the two-party vote. In comparison to her numbers in the NBC poll Clinton's poll average is 1.0 percentage point higher.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote. That is, Polly's forecast is 1.0 point above her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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