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GQR (D-Democracy Corps) poll: Trump trails by a sizable margin

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On July 12, GQR (D-Democracy Corps) released the results of a new national poll conducted on behalf of Democracy Corps, in which respondents were asked for whom they would vote if the nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democratic Party and Donald Trump for the Republican Party.

GQR (D-Democracy Corps) poll results
48

Clinton

37

Trump

The results show that 48.0% of respondents are going to to cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 37.0% plan to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The phone poll was carried out from June 23 to June 28.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The corresponding figures are 56.5% for Clinton and 43.5% for Trump.

Results compared to other polls

Clinton is currently at 52.7% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls. In comparison to her numbers in the GQR (D-Democracy Corps) poll Clinton's poll average is 3.8 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 3.8 points below her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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