In the latest update, PollyVote predicts that Clinton will end up with 52.7% of the national two-party vote, compared to 47.3% for Trump.
A look at the components
The PollyVote's component methods widely agree on the election outcome: Five expect a victory for Clinton and one expects that Trump will win.
Combined polls predict a vote share of 52.8% for Clinton, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 48.8% the econometric models deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.