Polly the parrot today forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.7% for Clinton and 47.3% for Trump. Today, Clinton has precentage point more than PollyVote's predictions from a month ago.
A look at the component methods
Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are aggregated polls with a vote share of 52.8% for Clinton. With a vote share of 48.8% the econometric models differ the most from the PollyVote forecast.