Polly the parrot today forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.7% for Clinton and 47.3% for Trump. Today, Clinton has precentage point more than PollyVote's predictions from a month ago.
A look at the component methods
Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are aggregated polls with a vote share of 52.8% for Clinton. With a vote share of 48.8% the econometric models differ the most from the PollyVote forecast.
This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.
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The PollyBot automatically generates written texts from forecasting data. For this, PollyBot relies on software developed by AX Semantics. To find out more about this so-called automated journalism visit PollyVote's FAQ page.