The Issues and Leaders model is captured in the quantitative index models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.1% for Clinton and 47.9% for Trump. In comparison, on July 5 Trump was still predicted to win 48.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single quantitative index models should be interpreted with caution, since they may incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single quantitative index models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined quantitative index models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.
Comparison to other quantitative index models
Clinton currently runs at 53.7% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent quantitative index models. Compared to her numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model Clinton's quantitative index model average is 1.6 percentage points better.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The quantitative index model results for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 52.7%.