Combined PollyVote forecasts win for Clinton

The combined PollyVote currently forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.1% for Clinton and 48.0% for Trump.

Looking at the component methods

The component methods widely agree on who will win the election: Five expect a win for Clinton and one expects that Trump will win.

According to the econometric models Trump is currently ahead by 51.8%.

Expert surveys predict a vote share of 52.4% for Clinton, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. The econometric models present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 48.2% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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