Combined PollyVote forecasts win for Clinton
The combined PollyVote currently forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.1% for Clinton and 48.0% for Trump.
Looking at the component methods
The component methods widely agree on who will win the election: Five expect a win for Clinton and one expects that Trump will win.
According to the econometric models Trump is currently ahead by 51.8%.
Expert surveys predict a vote share of 52.4% for Clinton, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. The econometric models present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 48.2% of the vote.