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Clinton leads by 5 points in latest TPM Poll Tracker poll


TPM Poll Tracker published the results of a new national poll on June 7. In this poll, participants were asked for whom they would vote if Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's candidate.

The results show that 43.8% of participants will vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 39.6% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out with respondents.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of an individual poll. At the very least, one should check whether the results from a single poll are comparable to benchmark forecasts.

To make the poll results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 52.5% for Clinton and 47.5% for Trump. In the most recent TPM Poll Tracker poll on June 6 Clinton obtained 52.7%, while Trump obtained only 47.3%.

Comparison to other polls

Clinton currently runs at 52.1% of the two-party vote in an average of recent polls. This value is 0.4 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the TPM Poll Tracker poll.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.3% of the two-party vote. That is, the PollyVote is 0.2 points below her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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