The PollyVote predicts win for Clinton

In the latest update, the combined PollyVote predicts that Clinton will gain 52.1% of the national two-party vote, compared to 47.9% for Trump.

Looking at the component methods

There is broad consensus among the six available component methods: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win.

According to the econometric models Trump is right now leading with 51.8%.

Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are expert surveys with a vote share of 52.4% for Clinton. The econometric models present the largest difference from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 48.2% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.