In the latest update, the combined PollyVote predicts that Clinton will gain 52.1% of the national two-party vote, compared to 47.9% for Trump.
Looking at the component methods
There is broad consensus among the six available component methods: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win.
According to the econometric models Trump is right now leading with 51.8%.
Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are expert surveys with a vote share of 52.4% for Clinton. The econometric models present the largest difference from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 48.2% of the vote.