270 to win poll: Clinton with 8-point lead

Results of a new national poll carried out by 270 to win were spread on June 26. The poll asked participants for whom they would vote if the Democratic Party nominated Hillary Clinton and the GOP nominated Donald Trump.

Of those who answered the question, 0.5% said that they intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 0.4% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted . A total of respondents responded.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of an individual poll. Rather, one should check whether a poll's results are in line with benchmark forecasts.

In order to compare the poll results to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The resulting figures are 54.1% for Clinton and 45.9% for Trump. In the latest 270 to win poll on June 22 Clinton received only 53.7%, while Trump received 46.4%.

Comparison to other polls

The latest polling average has Clinton at 53.3% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the 270 to win poll Clinton's polling average is 0.8 percentage points lower.

The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.1% of the two-party vote. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 2.0 points below her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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