Today, Polly predicts that Clinton will collect 52.2% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 47.8% for Trump.
A look at Polly's components
There is broad consensus among the six available component methods: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win.
According to the econometric models Trump is currently in the lead by 51.8%.
Expert surveys predict a vote share of 52.4% for Clinton, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. The econometric models present the largest difference from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 48.2% of the vote.