In the latest forecast, Polly concludes that Clinton will end up with 52.3% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 47.7% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win.
According to the econometric models Trump is right now leading with 51.8%.
Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are expert surveys with a vote share of 52.4% for Clinton. With a vote share of 48.2% the econometric models deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.