Clinton in the lead, according to latest PollyVote forecast

Today, Polly predicts that Clinton will end up with 52.4% of the national two-party vote, compared to 47.6% for Trump.

A look at Polly's components

The component methods have all come to the same conclusion. All prediction models expect Clinton to win.

Expert surveys predict a vote share of 52.4% for Clinton, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 55.8% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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