Broad consensus among component methods about election outcome

The combined PollyVote currently forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.5% for Clinton and 47.5% for Trump. The PollyVote's component methods widely agree on who is ahead: Five predict a win for Clinton and one predicts that Trump will win.

According to the econometric models Trump is right now in the lead by 51.8%.

Expert surveys predict a vote share of 52.4% for Clinton, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. The econometric models present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 48.2% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.