PollyVote currently predicts a national two-party vote share of 52.5% for Clinton and 47.5% for Trump. The component methods have all come to the same conclusion. All prediction models expect Clinton to win.
Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are expert surveys with a vote share of 52.4% for Clinton. With a vote share of 56.4% the prediction markets deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.
This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.
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The PollyBot automatically generates written texts from forecasting data. For this, PollyBot relies on software developed by AX Semantics. To find out more about this so-called automated journalism visit PollyVote's FAQ page.