On May 15, Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionAJC released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Georgia were asked for whom they would vote if the nominees were Hillary Clinton for the Democratic Party and Donald Trump for the GOP.
According to the results, 41.0% of interviewees intend to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 45.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from May 9 to May 12, among a random sample of participants.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of individual polls, as they may contain large errors. At least, one should examine whether a poll's results are in line with benchmark forecasts.
For the following comparison, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 47.7% for Clinton and 52.3% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
If we look at the polling average in Georgia, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 52.7%. Relative to his numbers in the Atlanta Journal-ConstitutionAJC poll Trump's polling average is 0.4 percentage points better.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Georgia. That is, Polly's combined forecast is 1.8 points above his polling numbers.