Combined PollyVote forecasts win for Clinton

Today, Polly the parrot predicts that Clinton will achieve 52.3% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 47.8% for Trump.

What Polly's component methods predict

There is a consensus currently dominating the three available component methods. Each of them predict a lead for Clinton.

Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are expert surveys with a vote share of 52.4% for Clinton. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 56.0% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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