Polly the parrot forecasts win for Clinton

Polly the parrot currently forecasts a national two-party vote share of 51.9% for Clinton and 48.1% for Trump. Clinton has however experienced a downward trend for the last 1 day, in which she lost 0.1 percentage points.

This is what the components expect

The component methods have all come to the same conclusion. All predictions models expect Clinton to win.

Expert surveys predict a vote share of 52.4% for Clinton, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 55.2% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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