Polly currently forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.1% for Clinton and 48.0% for Trump. The component methods have all come to the same conclusion. All predictions models expect Clinton to win. According to prediction markets, expert surveys and expectation polls Clinton will win the vote with 54.54, 52.36 and 50.29 respectively. Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are expert surveys with a vote share of 52.4%. With a vote share of 54.5% the prediction markets deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.