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Consensus among component methods about election outcome


Today, Polly the parrot predicts that Clinton will gain 51.9% of the national two-party vote, compared to 48.1% for Trump. There is a consensus currently dominating the four available component methods. Each of them predict a lead for Clinton. Coming in closest to PollyVote's prediction are expert surveys with a vote share of 52.4%. With a vote share of 54.4% the prediction markets differ the most from the PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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