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Consensus among component methods about election outcome


In the latest forecast, Polly the parrot concludes that Clinton will achieve 51.9% of the national two-party vote, compared to 48.1% for Trump. There is a consensus currently dominating the three available component methods. Each of them predict a lead for Clinton. According to expectation polls, expert surveys and prediction markets Clinton will win the vote with 50.29, 52.36 and 55.07 respectively. Expert surveys predict a vote share of 52.4%, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 55.1% the prediction markets deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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