In the latest forecast, Polly the parrot concludes that Clinton will achieve 51.9% of the national two-party vote, compared to 48.1% for Trump. There is a consensus currently dominating the three available component methods. Each of them predict a lead for Clinton. According to expectation polls, expert surveys and prediction markets Clinton will win the vote with 50.29, 52.36 and 55.07 respectively. Expert surveys predict a vote share of 52.4%, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 55.1% the prediction markets deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.