PollyVote currently forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.1% for Clinton and 47.9% for Trump. The component methods widely agree on who is ahead: Five expect a win for Clinton and one expects that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is right now leading with 51.9%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 52.4% vote share, expert surveys are the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 55.5% the prediction markets differ the most from the PollyVote forecast.