Polly today forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.8% for Clinton and 47.2% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a win for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. According to the econometric model Trump is right now leading with 51.9%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 52.9% vote share, combined polls are the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 58.0% the prediction markets deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.