Methods widely agree on the election outcome

In today's update, PollyVote concludes that Clinton will obtain 52.2% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 47.8% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. In contrast to Polly's prediction, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.9%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 52.4% vote share, combined polls are the closest to PollyVote's forecast. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 56.1% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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