In today's update, PollyVote concludes that Clinton will obtain 52.2% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 47.8% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. In contrast to Polly's prediction, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.9%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 52.4% vote share, combined polls are the closest to PollyVote's forecast. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 56.1% of the vote.