In today's update, the combined PollyVote predicts that Clinton will gain 52.3% of the national two-party vote, compared to 47.8% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a win for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win. Contrary to Polly's forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.9%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that expert surveys, with a predicted vote share of 52.4%, are the closest to PollyVote's forecast. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 56.6% of the vote.