PredictIt prediction market in Virginia: Clinton is in the lead
The PredictIt-prediction market's current forecast is a two-party vote share of 68.9% for Clinton and 31.1% for Trump in Virginia. On June 5 Clinton received only 68.0% and Trump received 32.0%.
Virginia is traditionally a purple state, where Republicans and Democrats have often won similar levels of voter support. Therefore, the election outcome in that state is viewed as critical in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.
The prediction market results for Clinton are thus 13.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.6% in Virginia.