PredictIt prediction market: Clinton with comfortable lead in Florida
According to the current results of the prediction market PredictIt the two-party vote share for Clinton in Florida is 55.0%, while Trump received 45.0%. For comparison: 56.0% was gained by Clinton on June 4, for Trump this number was only 44.0%.
In Florida, the election outcome is often close. This is why the state is commonly referred to as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
In Comparison, the PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 52.5% of the two-party vote in Florida, which is 2.5 percentage points below the prediction market results.