PollyVote currently predicts a national two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton and 47.8% for Trump. There is a consensus currently dominating the four available component methods. Each of them predict a lead for Clinton. Expert surveys predict a vote share of 52.4%, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 56.2% the prediction markets deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.