PredictIt prediction market: Clinton with comfortable lead in Ohio
The PredictIt-prediction market's current forecast is a two-party vote share of 54.9% for Clinton and 45.1% for Trump in Ohio. On June 4 Clinton received 55.5% and Trump received only 44.6%.
In Ohio, the election outcome is usually close. Therefore, the state is commonly considered a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
The prediction market results for Clinton are thus 3.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 51.6% in Ohio.