In the latest update, Polly predicts that Clinton will obtain 52.2% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 47.8% for Trump. Over the past 2 days, things have been looking worse for Clinton, she has since lost 0.3 percentage points.
Looking at the component methods
There is a consensus currently dominating the three available component methods. Each of them predict a lead for Clinton. According to expert surveys, expectation polls and prediction markets Clinton will win the vote with 53.24, 50.61 and 55.92 respectively. Expert surveys predict a vote share of 53.2%, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 55.9% of the vote.