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Methods widely agree on the election outcome


Today, PollyVote predicts that Clinton will end up with 53.6% of the national two-party vote. This leaves 46.4% for Trump. Polly's component methods widely agree on who will be America's next president: Five forecast a win for Clinton and one forecast that Trump will win. In contrast to Polly's forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.6%. Of the methods that predict Clinton as the election winner, with a 53.3% vote share, quantitative index models are the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 60.6% the prediction markets deviate the most from the PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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