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Clinton leads, according to latest PollyVote forecast


As of today, Polly concludes that Clinton will garner 53.6% of the national two-party vote, compared to 46.4% for Trump. Clinton has experienced an upward trend over the past 68 days, in which she gained an additional 0.4 percentage points.

This is what Polly's components say

The PollyVote's component methods widely agree on who will be the next POTUS: Five anticipate a victory for Clinton and one anticipates that Trump will win. Contrary to Polly's forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric model of 51.7%. A look at the component methods predicting a win for Clinton shows that quantitative index models, with a predicted vote share of 53.3%, are the closest to PollyVote's forecast. The prediction markets present the largest deviation from PollyVote's forecast and predict Clinton to have 60.6% of the vote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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