PredictIt prediction market: Trump in Nevada trail by a very clear margin
The PredictIt-prediction market's current forecast is a two-party vote share of 66.3% for Clinton and 33.7% for Trump in Nevada. On June 4 Clinton received only 65.0% and Trump received 35.0%.
Historically, Nevada has been a battleground state, in which neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party has had overwhelming support to secure its electoral college votes. Therefore, predictions here are of particular importance.
In Comparison, the PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 58.4% of the two-party vote in Nevada, which is 7.9 percentage points below the prediction market results.