PredictIt prediction market in New Hampshire: Clinton is in the lead
The PredictIt-prediction market's current forecast is a two-party vote share of 59.0% for Clinton and 41.0% for Trump in New Hampshire. On June 3 Clinton received 59.4% and Trump received only 40.6%.
Historically, New Hampshire has been a swing state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is the reason why forecasts in this state are of particular importance.
In Comparison, the PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.8% of the two-party vote in New Hampshire, which is 4.2 percentage points below the prediction market results.