PredictIt prediction market: Clinton with very clear lead in Virginia
The PredictIt-prediction market's current forecast is a two-party vote share of 65.0% for Clinton and 35.0% for Trump in Virginia. For comparison: Only 64.4% was gained by Clinton on June 3, for Trump this number was 35.6%.
Historically, Virginia has been a purple state, in which neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is the reason why predictions here are of particular value.
In Comparison, the PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Virginia, which is 10.5 percentage points below the prediction market results.