PredictIt prediction market: Clinton with very clear lead in Virginia
The PredictIt-prediction market's current forecast is a two-party vote share of 64.7% for Clinton and 35.3% for Trump in Virginia. For comparison: 65.1% was gained by Clinton on June 4, for Trump this number was only 35.0%.
Historically, Virginia has been a swing state, in which neither the Democrats nor the Republicans have had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. This is the reason why predictions here are of particular value.
The prediction market results for Clinton are thus 9.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.3% in Virginia.