PredictIt prediction market: Clinton with clear lead in Iowa

The PredictIt-prediction market's current forecast is a two-party vote share of 58.4% for Clinton and 41.6% for Trump in Iowa. For comparison: Only 57.6% was gained by Clinton on June 3, for Trump this number was 42.4%.

Iowa is traditionally a purple state, where the two major political parties have often won similar levels of support among voters. Hence, the election outcome here is viewed as crucial in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.

The prediction market results for Clinton are thus 4.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.0% in Iowa.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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